Diurnal temperatures — skin vs terrain background

LWIR thermal contrast ΔT = skin − background

Terrain background Aircraft skin ΔT (contrast) Crossover (ΔT = 0)
Diurnal model
Background swing18 °C
Skin swing6 °C
Skin phase lag1.0 h
Daily mean T₀15 °C
Background peaks ~14:00 (8 h shift); skin lags it by the phase-lag hours and swings less.
Crossover 1
≈ 1 h after sunrise
Crossover 2
≈ 1 h after sunset
Peak +ΔT
warmest vs ground
Peak −ΔT
coldest vs ground
A well-characterized IR signature still depends on the clock: twice a day the airframe vanishes in the LWIR.